September 17: Generic RatingsThe amazing field assembled in the Underwood Stakes this Saturday provides a vehicle for yours truly to start test driving my ratings. Based on what I sent yesterday this is how my ratings see the field using the runners I have rated so far and using the margins provided.0.00 Whobetgotyou 58.00.75 Predatory Pricer 58.01.25 Vigor 59.02.50 Heart Of Dreams 58.03.50 Zarita 57.05.00 Typhoon Tracy 56.0The only other runners I have not listed yet which are obvious chances a
September 17: Generic Ratings
The amazing field assembled in the Underwood Stakes this Saturday provides a vehicle for yours truly to start test driving my ratings. Based on what I sent yesterday this is how my ratings see the field using the runners I have rated so far and using the margins provided.
0.00 Whobetgotyou 58.0
0.75 Predatory Pricer 58.0
1.25 Vigor 59.0
2.50 Heart Of Dreams 58.0
3.50 Zarita 57.0
5.00 Typhoon Tracy 56.0
The only other runners I have not listed yet which are obvious chances are Efficient, Viewed and Maldivian
The A selection would be Whobegotyou by 0.75 to Predatory Pricer then 2.25 Vigor, 2.50 to Heart Of Dreams and Zarita and 3.00 to Typhoon Tracy.
Using the Winning Post pre post assessment the value runner is Predatory Pricer which is quoted $9.00 against Whobegotyou at $2.90.
Without any trouble at all I would be quite happy to rate Maldivian ahead of Whobegotyou on past performances and would have Viewed and Efficient somewhere around Zarita. Therefore at $13 prepost Maldivian is the real value based on best career form and considering he is the reigning Cox Plate winner who could argue against him heading my list.
Well, as a matter of fact, you could because you might be in the camp that would suggest Maldivian "stole" last years Cox Plate with soft mid race sectionals. Do you know something? That is a fair argument hence some raters would not have Maldivian on top.
Such is the beauty of horseracing: it is all about your opinion versus mine and the person next to both of us.
By the way, is this Saturdays meeting one corker of a meeting or what? I have done my initial form procedure where I simply allot a tick to a genuine winning chance in each race I am interested in. This Saturday I have dropped all the 3yo races. It is a fairly quick procedure and I rarely kick myself for missing an obvious chance though at times I do give myself a clip over the ears for forgetting something I should have remembered. I console myself by noting I am 59 on New Years Eve and some of my brain cells are turning to mush.
The bottom line is I am dismissing ALL races as prospects for a serious bet as each race I looked at has multiple chances and I don't like "hard" races. As I am one of Australia's biggest desperadoes I am sure I will have a bet in a few but rest assured the bet size will be miniscule and will only be bet due to medicinal reasons.
Have a listen on Saturday morning to my podcast: I will not be tipping anything under about 15/1 in Melbourne. However at Rosehill and Belmont Park there are less ticks in several races so my main bets will be at those venues.