TWO UP AND EXPECT MORE.

TWO UP AND EXPECT MORE.No names no pack drill. Maybe one of them will turn out to be a freak.But get this: the figures are horribly against an AJC Derby winner taking out the big Cup. Horribly.And as to the new three year olds, well, next Saturday will tell us a little, but not everything.Whatever you do, don't bet prepost this early.There are 92 days before the Melbourne Cup. We need 10/1 about any horse starting.All the other factors are afterthoughts. Less than 10/1 with three months to go is

TWO UP AND EXPECT MORE.

No names no pack drill. Maybe one of them will turn out to be a freak.

But get this: the figures are horribly against an AJC Derby winner taking out the big Cup. Horribly.

And as to the new three year olds, well, next Saturday will tell us a little, but not everything.

Whatever you do, don't bet prepost this early.

There are 92 days before the Melbourne Cup. We need 10/1 about any horse starting.

All the other factors are afterthoughts. Less than 10/1 with three months to go isn't even a proposition.

Not Ever.

And the new kids on the block? All the articles in the press are accompanied by trainers' patter, how they hope for this and think that.

Good luck to them, all of them.

But the hard facts are that some of the new three year olds will NOT make the grade.

No matter WHAT they did as two year olds.

No matter WHAT they won.

It's a new season, the biggest change of their entire racing careers.

And frankly, it's anybody's guess.

Sorry to be a nark, but call it years of experience, watching the money go early on so many cot cases.

It makes you a bit cynical about early season form.

And a lot cynical about emerging three year old early season form.

Maybe, just maybe, I've saved you a dollar or two.