The more blog postings I write the more I realize just how many boxes I need to tick to ensure I at least get the minimal amount of correct thoughts out to my readers. On Wednesday the box I forgot to tick was the Lady Lynette box in Race 7 as when I suggested I was sort of guessing when I mentioned Dollops and others I simply missed listing her. I have no problems with not suggesting her in my top four as it was my belief her run in the Rose Of Kingston although good didn't quite get me plus sh

The more blog postings I write the more I realize just how many boxes I need to tick to ensure I at least get the minimal amount of correct thoughts out to my readers. On Wednesday the box I forgot to tick was the Lady Lynette box in Race 7 as when I suggested I was sort of guessing when I mentioned Dollops and others I simply missed listing her. I have no problems with not suggesting her in my top four as it was my belief her run in the Rose Of Kingston although good didn't quite get me plus she is best at 1400m but to have missed her as a chance was a blue I apologize for.

Well, I laid Irish Lights at $3.50 but not for as much as if she had been $2.30 but a loss just the same. After an excellent ride (raced handy instead of back in the field) she, according to Glen Boss, had some energy left in the tank. How good is she? As always attempting to assess lightly raced improvers can be a punters nightmare and so it was for yours truly who not only laid her but bet against her as well. Ouch!

At present I am deep into the form for tomorrow and the Caulfield Cup, as always is a cracker to decipher, and bar the 1400m Mares race, which has only 4 winning chances as I see it in my preliminaries, the rest of the programme has some tough races as well. In other words, a typical Caulfield Cup day.

Those of you following my Generic Ratings discussions will have noted via my postings this project is a long term juggling act in the formation stage. I no sooner think I have things reasonably worked out and along comes a mare like Lady Lynette and wins her first 1600m race against a proven Group winner , albeit on wet tracks, and suddenly I have to reassess. Would she have won if Purple wasn't checked early? I will have a better idea after the coming mares races at Moonee Valley and Flemington: in other words, at the end of the carnival as I have stated so often.

However, I am fairly happy with my ratings of horses in the Caulfield Cup, bar Kirklees and Cima Di Triompe as I feel I am just guessing with them, and the horse I have on top is Predatory Pricer. I am quite prepared to accept he might not stay the 2400m, as he is a half brother to Takeover Target, but for the academics of it all I am quite happy to believe he can. There have been a stack of horses in the past that have had doubts about their ability to run the 2400m of the Caulfield Cup based on runs around 2000m and until proven otherwise I am going to rate him highly at that distance. He has beaten the handicapper as far as I am concerned. My second top rater is Vigor.

I am not going to go overboard but for the sake of it all I am going to take them AB for 2 units and 1 unit BA into my other chances for the C and D positions in the First Four. The chances are: Viewed, Master O'Reilly, Red Ruler, Kirkless and Cima De Triompe. If I am right I shall be a very happy punter but as it is the Caulfield Cup I shall not hold my breath though I need to add I do far better in the CCup than I do in the Melbourne Cup and last year I backed the first three placegetters for various win and place amounts (no, I had no trifectas). There is no Barbaricus for me this year though my roughie is Baughurst if it gets a run.

Good luck: God knows we need it on CCup day.