If Whobegotyou was a horse able to race on the pace he would be a sensation. As a matter of fact he is a sensation now as his finishing bursts are something to be seen but like many fast finishers he needs everything to go his way. The pace of the race is always critical for this horse as a slowly run race means he has to run world standard sectionals to get up and win from his usual near last position on the home turn . After studying the weights of the Stradbroke Handicap I thought the pre rac
If Whobegotyou was a horse able to race on the pace he would be a sensation. As a matter of fact he is a sensation now as his finishing bursts are something to be seen but like many fast finishers he needs everything to go his way. The pace of the race is always critical for this horse as a slowly run race means he has to run world standard sectionals to get up and win from his usual near last position on the home turn . After studying the weights of the Stradbroke Handicap I thought the pre race betting would have had the betting at 4/1 the field so you can imagine my surprise when I saw W is listed at $2.50 with the fixed odds at Tabcorp.
If I bet $40 on Whobegotyou I will win $60 if he can overcome all the problems I have mentioned as well as getting past some smart horses who themselves can run good sectionals. If I bet $40 for the place on Catapulted I will win $70 if he simply places. History decrees that Catapulted cannot win the QTC Cup and The Stradbroke Handicap but there is no such "rule" about placing. Just the same history also shows "most" rules in racing are broken eventually so a win by Catapulted is not out of the question. Which do you think is the better value bet? I know what mine would be and that is Catapulted if he draws a suitable barrier.
At the weights how can we not consider backing Melito (51.5kg) ahead of Whobegotyou (57kg) considering Melito's excellent wfa form. I am sure the handicapper would like another crack at her weight. The new boy on the block is Latin News, who should have strolled in last week, thus enhancing the thought the handicapper also would have liked to reassess his weight. Supposition, of course, but isn't the punt about thinking ahead and I don't think I am being too loose with my thoughts about Latin News and the handicapper.
Here I go again potting the short priced favourite most people think is over the line. Late Saturday afternoon I might be thinking "I told you so" but then again some of you might be saying, "Couldn't he see what a good thing it was?". Time, as always, will tell the tale.