One of the most absorbing races this weekend is the 1400m wfa All Aged Stakes mainly due to the decision punters have to make between Danleigh and Mic Mac. Danleigh has had 9 runs at wfa for four wins and one third with three of those wins at less than a length. His get back style means he just gets there but he gets there!!! Mic Mac has had 6 wfa runs for 1 win and two seconds. The bare stats show Danleigh is the better class horse however he has a couple of factors against him worth considerin
One of the most absorbing races this weekend is the 1400m wfa All Aged Stakes mainly due to the decision punters have to make between Danleigh and Mic Mac. Danleigh has had 9 runs at wfa for four wins and one third with three of those wins at less than a length. His get back style means he just gets there but he gets there!!! Mic Mac has had 6 wfa runs for 1 win and two seconds. The bare stats show Danleigh is the better class horse however he has a couple of factors against him worth considering. Firstly, he is going to be giving Mic Mac about 4 lengths start as they straighten and secondly, he has never been on a 7 day backup. Both factors do not mean he cannot win but giving starts to top class horses is always fraught with betting danger and some horses cannot handle a seven day backup at this class level. If you add the fact that Mic Mac is unbeaten at 1400m from two runs and is also unbeaten second up from two runs (beat Whobegotyou easily at Caulfield) supporters of this horse have some genuine ammunition to call for a Danleigh defeat.
The race map for the race shows Mic Mac and Hot Danish are the only two runners who normally race near the lead. Personally, I would be amazed if Hugh Bowman, jockey of Mic Mac, would fight Hot Danish for the lead if Tim Clark decided he wanted the mighty mare to go to the front. If the pace is on early Nash Rawiller aboard Danleigh will have a smile that wide you will see it from the grandstand as he knows he has the strongest finisher in the race. This race is going to be an absolute corker and really revolves around the early sectionals which is all about patience, patience and even more patience and then who will crack first up the rise? Will T Clark wait those extra few meters Hot Danish will need at this level (she is 0 wins from 7 Group 1 attempts) or will he go for it and gamble on her outsprinting his rivals? When will H Bowman pressure Hot Danish, because he has to at some stage otherwise she will slip away, and when will N Rawiller decide to go? Bring it on - prerace this is the race of the carnival.