All racing attention shifts to Rosehill for the running of the 2000m Group 1 Rosehill Guineas and an accompanying set of lesser Group races. I am not a great fan of betting in the Rosehill Guineas because over the years it has been too much of a mixed bag results wise. Since 1989 four outright favourites and one equal 2/1 favourite have won the race returning the punters a loss of approximately 7 units or about 35% loss on turnover. Those sort of figures simply suggest "give the race a miss

All racing attention shifts to Rosehill for the running of the 2000m Group 1 Rosehill Guineas and an accompanying set of lesser Group races. I am not a great fan of betting in the Rosehill Guineas because over the years it has been too much of a mixed bag results wise. Since 1989 four outright favourites and one equal 2/1 favourite have won the race returning the punters a loss of approximately 7 units or about 35% loss on turnover. Those sort of figures simply suggest "give the race a miss". When it is all said and done punters are looking for winners and finding it in the Rosehill Guineas has not been an easy chore.
I much prefer the 1500m Group 2 Ajax Stakes as a betting proposition as the form lines around Solo Flyer, Chasm, Playwright and Marching are calculable. The only horses normally with a chance: Reigning To Win, Kingda Ka and All American are a fraction more difficult to assess for a range of reasons but common sense decrees you favour your chances of the winner coming from the quartet mentioned. It is a tough race in that there is nothing between Solo Flyer and Chasm (hampered) on their Newcastle quinella and Playwright has to navigate his first NSW visit around the sometimes tricky Rosehill. Marching has enormous ability but just seems to struggle to find the winning post consistently enough. At this stage I favour Chasm but I will be guided by the prices when I bet and whichever seems the best value will rceive my attention.
Interesting to note disgraced bookmaker Simon Beasley has decided to retire from bookmaking. He is in a fair bit of trouble after some fairly stupid decisions where over 1400 bets were not recorded correctly and it looks like he is jumping before he is legally pushed. He has the same opinion as yours truly has had for quite sometime: there is very little reason for the punters to go to the track with all the cheaper home benefits and all sorts of betting options available via a few strokes of a keyboard. It's my opinion that within the next twenty years all that will be left of the bookmaker ring will be a handful of corporate bookmakers (five or six) for most of the year and around carnival times there will be extra recruits assembled but I don't think it will number too many. Horseracing has some sad times coming ahead.