Form wise the key race for the Chelmsford Stakes is the wfa Warwick Stakes run on August 14 as most of the field for the Chelmsford ran in the race. After having watched the replay several times it is difficult not to be impressed by the run of Triple Honour as he sprinted around the field at the 500m mark, naturally ran wide on the home turn and then had the temerity to sprint, and I mean sprint, towards the lead at the 200m. In the final few metres he understandably weakened to just be beaten
Form wise the key race for the Chelmsford Stakes is the wfa Warwick Stakes run on August 14 as most of the field for the Chelmsford ran in the race. After having watched the replay several times it is difficult not to be impressed by the run of Triple Honour as he sprinted around the field at the 500m mark, naturally ran wide on the home turn and then had the temerity to sprint, and I mean sprint, towards the lead at the 200m. In the final few metres he understandably weakened to just be beaten by stablemate Metal Bender, himself quite a top class horse.
The run by Theseo was all Theseo as he does not know the word defeat while Purple ran home sensationally once she straightened. Running on sweetly was Count Encosta whom I have just backed to win the Caulfield Cup at 65/1 on Betfair based on the run. I always like good wfa runs by handicappers in the lead up to the Group 1 handicaps and he fits the bill quite well. You never know. While I was there I jumped onto Shoot Out for the Caulfield Cup as well (23/1) as his run in the Memsie Stakes, after running three wide all the way, had CCup written all over it.
Sorry about the diversion! The pre post betting for the Chelmsford has Metal Bender at $2.5 (suspect value), Theseo at $3.60 (may need another run but 3/7 2nd up), Triple Honour at $4.60 (fair price) and Purple at $8.50 (just ok pricewise). Count Encosta is at $11.00 (not convinced at that price) and the roughie for the place, Run For Naara, is at $41.00. A price around 1/1 the place Triple Honour strikes me as fair, at this stage, based on a Dead 4 track rating.
Where the race takes on a new dimension is the fact that the Chelmsford is run at the roomy Randwick track whereas the form race was at the tighter Warwick Farm and that certainly adds another dimension to the race.
Down south Love Conquers All tackles Melbournes best but when you have a good look there is only one Melbourne horse realistically able to raise the bar for the locals and that is Doubtful Jack. If he is fit enough, and for a race worth $120,000 to the winner you would like to think he is, he will be there at the finish. At this stage we await for Mr Weather to arrive as the forecast is for plenty of rain and that will favour the mudlark favourite.