In the second article in this series, Jon Hudson looks at doubles betting, and other forms of exotic bets, using information contained in Malcolm Knowles" book The Good Betting & Racing Guide, which is being sold to raise funds for the Royal Alexandra Hospital for Children in Sydney.
Using Malcolm Knowles' ratings process, the punter who attacks doubles, and any other form of investment, would restrict his bets to certain 'bettable' races.
The ratings idea contains four 'do nots' and these are as follows:
- Do not bet in races if the field size is greater than 15 starters.
- Do not bet in races at distances greater than 2000m.
- Do not bet if the track conditions are slow or heavy.
- Do not bet if any runner in a race is having its first start.
The four rules are sensible and if followed 'to the letter' will do much to prevent you wasting your money on races and horses that are not worth the risk.
There are other aspects to the ratings process but I won't go into them in this article, Suffice to say that when you buy the book you will be fully informed! The idea of this article is to talk about doubles.
Using the Knowles' rating formula you will be able to rate races so that you come up with selections for the doubles. Then there's the problem of whether the doubles represent any value.
The chart on Page 29 will be most helpful in this regard because it shows you, at a glance, what the real odds are for any combination between 1/2 and 100/1 linked with second leg runners from 10/1 through to 100/1.
On the left hand side of the table, and across the top are sets of odds. These odds are the odds of your chosen runners in each leg. Simply locate the odds of your first and second leg selections in either the first column or the top row of the doubles table.
Then trace your finger to the point at which they intersect on the table. The intersection point is the 'odds chance' that these two horses have of winning the double.
For example, let's assume a first leg selection is 3/1 and the second leg pick is 10/1. The doubles odds for this combination is 43/1. You start with the 3/1 line in the left hand column, then move across until you come to the column under the 10/1 listing - you'll see 43. That's the odds.
Another example: Your first leg is 4/1 and your second leg is 25/1. That means the double's odds are 129/1.
The chart we have reproduced here is one of two contained in The Good Betting & Racing Guide. The first chart covers prices from 1/2 to 100/1 linked with horses up to 8/1.
Using these charts, you can quickly discover what sort of profits you are looking at with any number of doubles linkups. For example, you might select 2 horses in the first leg and 3 horses in the second leg. This is a total of 6 doubles.
FIRST LEG
Horse A: 2/1
Horse B: 4/1
SECOND LEG
Horse C: 10/1
Horse D: 15/1
Horse E: 20/1
Using the chart below you can easily see that the doubles will pay the following odds (approx if you are betting on the TAB):
DOUBLES' ODDS TABLE
ODDS | 10/1 | 15/1 | 20/1 | 25/1 | 30/1 | 50/1 | 60/1 | 80/1 | 100/1 |
---|
1/2 | 15 | 23 | 30 | 38 | 45 | 76 | 91 | 121 | 151 |
1/1 | 21 | 31 | 41 | 51 | 61 | 101 | 121 | 161 | 201 |
6/4 | 26 | 39 | 52 | 64 | 77 | 127 | 152 | 202 | 252 |
2/1 | 32 | A7 | 62 | 77 | 92 | 152 | 182 | 242 | 302 |
5/2 | 37 | 55 | 73 | 90 | 108 | 178 | 213 | 283 | 353 |
3/1 | 43 | 63 | 83 | 103 | 123 | 203 | 243 | 323 | 403 |
4/1 | 54 | 79 | 104 | 129 | 154 | 254 | 304 | 404 | 504 |
5/1 | 65 | 95 | 125 | 155 | 185 | 305 | 365 | 485 | 605 |
6/1 | 76 | 111 | 146 | 181 | 216 | 356 | 426 | 566 | 706 |
7/1 | 87 | 127 | 167 | 207 | 247 | 407 | 487 | 647 | 807 |
8/1 | 98 | 143 | 188 | 233 | 278 | 458 | 548 | 728 | 908 |
9/1 | 109 | 159 | 209 | 259 | 309 | 509 | 609 | 809 | 1009 |
10/1 | 120 | 175 | 230 | 285 | 340 | 560 | 670 | 890 | 1110 |
15/1 | 175 | 255 | 335 | 415 | 495 | 815 | 975 | 1295 | 1615 |
20/1 | 230 | 335 | 440 | 545 | 650 | 870 | 1280 | 1700 | 2120 |
25/1 | 285 | 415 | 545 | 675 | 805 | 1325 | 1585 | 2105 | 2625 |
30/1 | 340 | 495 | 650 | 805 | 960 | 1580 | 1890 | 2510 | 3130 |
40/1 | 450 | 655 | 860 | 1065 | 1270 | 2090 | 2500 | 3320 | 4140 |
50/1 | 560 | 815 | 1070 | 1325 | 1580 | 2600 | 3110 | 4130 | 5150 |
60/1 | 670 | 975 | 1280 | 1585 | 1890 | 3110 | 3720 | 4940 | 6160 |
80/1 | 890 | 1295 | 1700 | 2105 | 2510 | 4130 | 4940 | 6560 | 8180 |
100/1 | 1110 | 1615 | 2120 | 2625 | 3130 | 5150 | 6160 | 8180 | 10200 |
DOUBLEA with C: 32/1
A with D: 47/1
A with E: 62/1
B with C: 54/1
B with D: 79/1
B with E: 104/1
The Good Betting & Racing Guide contains other charts relating to exotic betting. These cover quinellas, exactas and trifectas.
THE GOOD BETTING AND RACING GUIDE, by Malcolm Knowles.
Click here to read
Part 1.
By Jon Hudson
PRACTICAL PUNTING - DECEMBER 1994