History shows there is only one factor you need to worry about in the VRC Oaks and that is the name of the favourite. In the last 25 years a 1 unit investment on the favourite has yielded returns of 32.25 units (12 winners) which equals 29% profit on turnover. I am the first to admit the sample of 25 is low but they are the figures. If you add another statistic: the record of last Saturdays Wakeful Stakes winner, into the equation you will find over the same period there have been 10 winners who

History shows there is only one factor you need to worry about in the VRC Oaks and that is the name of the favourite. In the last 25 years a 1 unit investment on the favourite has yielded returns of 32.25 units (12 winners) which equals 29% profit on turnover. I am the first to admit the sample of 25 is low but they are the figures. If you add another statistic: the record of last Saturdays Wakeful Stakes winner, into the equation you will find over the same period there have been 10 winners who have completed the double returning the punter an even greater profit than the favourites of 10.05 units or a massive 40.2 % profit on turnover. As I stated in my first sentence: you only need to know the name of the favourite in the VRC Oaks.

This years favourite, Faint Perfume, is also the winner of the Wakeful Stakes and therefore represents a double whammy for the followers of the statistics I have presented. In the pre post betting Faint Perfume is quoted at around \$1.75 and based on her demolition of Silent Surround and Melito (both are in the Oaks) her price should be \$1.50, if not shorter. The only reason she isn't as short as my quote is because she has never run the distance: all the other form boxes are ticked.

If \$1.75 is too short for you stay out of the race or take some Trifectas or First Fours with her in the A position. For my First Fours I am going to take the field to run 2nd thus hoping for a roughie and for third and fourth I will take Melito, Silent Surround and Well Rounded. If I take another set I will take Faint Perfume in the A position, Well Rounded as B and Melito and Silent Surround for the CD positions. The number of combinations need to be low as we have a short price favourite as the A position. If you just want a roughie then Well Rounded might be the one: her run at Geelong behind Southern Skye (4th in the VRC Derby) was quite good as she received several checks in the running.

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