Although there is a good case to be made out for the importance of "ability at the course", there are critics who claim that punters often overemphasise its importance.
I don't put myself into the critical category though I do subscribe to the cautionary warning that we shouldn't go overboard when assessing course ability's importance. It's a matter of keeping a clear head and not being swayed too much.
Many horses do prefer certain tracks. No-one really knows why they do, but it's a fact. Perhaps some tracks suit big-striders, other tracks are more conducive to good runs from smaller horses. Some tracks have long, sweeping bends, others are tight with a short run from the home turn to the finishing post.
Whatever your views, I'm sure you'll agree with me that there is something rather comforting about backing a horse that you know for a fact has done well at the track before. It may be a fool's gold feeling, but I like it!
I've found a few systems that I want to share with you regarding course specialists. They have been performing well, and my feeling is that they'll stand the test of time.
THE 100% SPECIALIST- Operate on any tracks, but preferably city tracks on Saturdays and public holidays.
- The only horses to be considered are those that have a 100 per cent place record at the track from four or more starts.
THE C & D ACE
- Operate on any tracks, though strong provincial and city meetings are recommended.
- Tick off any runner which has won at the course over the distance.
- Eliminate any qualifier which has not won twice or more at the distance at any track.
- If a tie between two qualifiers, back the one with the lowest last start form figure.
- If three or more qualifiers, pass the race.
THE PLACE BET PLAN
- Operate on city tracks midweek and on Saturdays and public holidays.
- Consider only those runners who are last-start winners.
- Once you have these qualifiers, tick off any which have been placed (1st, 2nd or 3rd) at least four times at the track.
- If there is just one qualifier, it is the bet.
- If two qualifiers, back both.
- If three or more qualifiers, pass the race.
SUPER WIN PLAN
- Operate on any tracks, though city tracks preferred.
- The only runners to be considered are those that have been placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd at their last five starts.
- To be considered further, a qualifier must have at least two wins on the track.
- If one qualifier, it becomes the bet.
- If a tie, take the horse with the most wins.
- If still a tie, back both.
- If three or more qualifiers, pass the race.
THE HIGH PERCENTAGE PLAN
- Operate on any tracks, through city tracks preferred.
- Consider only those runners with a win strike of 40 per cent or more.
- Of the qualifiers, consider only those which have won at the track.
- The selection is the horse with the MOST wins.
- If a tie, back the horse with the most wins, or back both.
THE TRAINERS PLAN
- Operate at city tracks on Saturdays and midweek, plus public holidays.
- At the track where you are operating, mark down the two top trainers.
- Check all their runners and tick them off.
- Any of these runners which are winners at the track are backed provided they had their last start within the previous 21 days and finished 7th or better last start.
- Any runner with three or more wins at the track from the chosen stables is backed for a double-unit investment.
THE DISTANCE KILLERS PLAN
- Operate on any tracks, but city tracks preferred.
- In each race on which you wish to bet, tick off all runners who have won at least twice over the distance of the current race.
- Check to see if any of these qualifiers are winners at the course.
- Of these qualifiers, eliminate any at 7/2 or longer.
- Back the qualifiers that are left.
THE MARATHON PLAN
- Operate only on city tracks.
- Consider only those races at 2400m to 2800m.
- Consider only last-start winners.
- If any of these qualifiers are winners at the track they become a bet.
- If two or more qualifiers, back all if prices permit.
I hope these systems will give your betting a bit of an excitement boost. They all take into consideration the "course specialist" impact value.
Click here to read Part 1.
By Richard Hartley Jr.
PRACTICAL PUNTING - JUNE 2002