In this mornings blog I said I would be providing some reasons why some of the top chances in the main races at Scone tomorrow could be considered worth risking (please refer to that blog in conjunction with this one). The punter must ask questions before the race rather than say "I should have noticed that" after the event. One quick rule for eliminating horses is to bag the get back types as they need all the breaks their way so this eliminates Black Piranha, The Jackal, All Legal, S

In this mornings blog I said I would be providing some reasons why some of the top chances in the main races at Scone tomorrow could be considered worth risking (please refer to that blog in conjunction with this one). The punter must ask questions before the race rather than say "I should have noticed that" after the event. One quick rule for eliminating horses is to bag the get back types as they need all the breaks their way so this eliminates Black Piranha, The Jackal, All Legal, Slapstick, Renaissance, Illuminates, Serenissima, Snow Alert, Keepin" The Dream, Keffiya and Parfumier from the races I listed this morning. Personally, I would not mind owning anyone of this list: they have many wins ahead of them but today is about betting and not owning.

Now, one thing has to be said. The running styles of horses is not always an exact science as some horses vary in running styles depending on distance, whether they actually jump cleanly or if drawn poorly and are snagged back rather than go forward and be caught wide. The risk horses I listed above are MY assessment. In the long run I feel I will be about 1/1 in correctly selecting the horses that can vary their styles.

The horses left for further consideration are Border Rebel, Black Prince, Star Of Octagonal, Will To Win and Melpomene. Black Prince is second up and his best run second up was against inferior class than today so out he goes. This is a brutal because BP is quite a good horse but he has not run well second up in this company and that's the way it has to be. Star Of Octagonal has not raced for 27 days and on that basis there is a doubt especially for a horse that might have to work from his wide barrier. Will To Win looks a risk on his run last start but a top chance on his run first up to Latin News. As soon as I say the word "risk" out goes the horse in question.

The two horses left: Border Rebel and Melpomene have all their basic boxes ticked. This makes Border Rebel a true favourite and Melpomene an excellent each way chance IF you are happy enough to consider them capable enough in today's class of race. That, of course, is a personal assessment but isn't that what horseracing is all about.

Good luck to all the people at the Scone Racing Club. They have ALL their boxes ticked and one can only imagine what sort of crowd they are going to get. It should be a beauty and they deserve every accolade possible.

Good luck to Border Rebel and Melpomene, too!