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Latest price changes and bets for Saturday's racing, from TAB.com.au:
CAULFIELD 27/7
1st price listed is original price posted before scratchings
RACE
MOVER
1
Banghai $10 - $13 - $9, Gallant Express $10 - $9, Monkstone $3.20 - $2.70 ($2000 @ $3.10, $1000 x $2300 @ $3/$1.44, $600 @ $2.80)
2
Dayita $5.50 - $6 - $5.50 ($1100 @ $6), Upbeat $12 - $11, Lethal Arrow $12 - $10 ($450 @ $12), Midnight Glory ($500 @ $7.50), Price Of Glory $15 - $13
3
Kukla ($500 @ $11), Are There Any $6 - $5.50 ($500 @ $6), Kolonga $21 - $31 - $21 ($1000 @ $26), Text’n Hurley $6 - $3.60 ($500 e/w @ $6/$2.25, $1200 @ $4.80, $1500 & $800 @ $4.40, $4000 @ $3.80), City Hall $21 - $26 - $21
4
Nisos $6 - $4.80, Space $9 - $9.50 - $9, Flawlessly $5 - $3.60 ($1500 & $400 @ $5) (Deduction 9c x 10c for High Aims)
5
Serene Star $5.50 - $6 - $5, Lady’s Angel $12 - $10 ($300 x $700 @ $12/$3.75), Captivating Lady $8 - $9 - $8, Octavia $5.50 - $3.40 ($600 @ $5.50, $2000 e/w @ $4.40/$1.85, $1000 @ $3.50) (Deductions 5c x 6c for Gossip Girl and Vicario)
6
Second Effort $5 - $4.20 ($1000 @ $5), Sea Lord ($1000 @ $9), Pago Rock $4 - $3.80 ($1000 & $600 @ $4), Captain Fancypantz $31 - $26
7
Road Trippin’ ($1000 & $500 @ $6), Ajeeb $4.40 - $4 - $4.20 ($1500 @ $4.40, $500 @ $4), Committed $9 - $6 ($500 @ $8)
8
Veewap $16 - $13, Koe $7 - $5 (Deduction 19c x 16c for Henwood)
RANDWICK 27/7
1 (Two Placings)
Watabout $2.40 - $2.20 ($5000 @ $2.40), El Sasso ($1000 x $2000 @ $13/$5)
Arabian Gold $2.80 - $2.60 ($1000 @ $2.80, $2000 @ $2.60), Blue Prints $10 - $11 - $9.50 ($500 @ $9.50), Stamina ($1000 @ $3.80), Fast Grass $31 - $21, Quayside $15 - $13 ($400 @ $15, $500 @ $13)
Rebel Dancer $4.80 - $4.60 ($800 @ $4.80), Recoinage $15 - $13
Windswept $7.50 - $6.50 ($1000 @ $7), Red Dynamite $15 - $11 ($500 @ $13, $500 @ $11)
No movements of note
Pentasia $4.60 - $4.40 ($2000 & $500 @ $4.60), Griffon $10 - $9.50, My Destiny $7 - $6.50 ($650 @ $7), Funtantes ($400 @ $21)
Madam Nash ($1500 @ $3.70), Yulalona $12 - $8.50 ($500 @ $9.50, $1000 @ $9), Iggi Pop $6.50 - $5.50 ($700 @ $6.50)
Zakynthos Imprintz $26 - $17, Burbero $5.50 - $4.60 ($400 @ $5.50, $1000, $900 & $500 @ $5, $600 @ $4.60), Magic Weekend $35 - $31, Happy Hussy $9.50 - $8.50 ($1000 @ $9)
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Win-strike rates are fun, believe it or not. How many times have you seen a statement something like this one? "The horse must have a winstrike r...
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Australian horse racing form study usually stops at picking the horse: you do the form, then walk up and take whatever price is showing on the board. In Practical Punting in October 2000, Richard H...
Australian horse racing form study often ends the same way: an hour on the form guide, and a bet on the one whose name you liked. Writing in Practical Punting in September 2000, Richard Hartley Jnr...
Track conditions and weight are the two Australian horse racing form factors most punters skim over — "the in-a-hurry punters of modern day racing", as Richard Hartley Jnr put it in Practical Punti...
Australian horse racing form study often ends the same way: an hour on the form guide, half the field circled, and still no idea which one to back. Writing in Practical Punting Magazine, Richard Ha...
Most of a Saturday card is not worth studying — which is why Australian horse racing form study starts with picking the race, not the horse. Writing in Practical Punting in June 2000, Richard Ha...
Before you rate a single horse, Australian horse racing form study starts with a question about the race itself: is it even worth analysing? Writing in Practical Punting in May 2000, Richard Hartle...
Don Scott's first book turned the racing world upside down, and it did it with ratings: for the first time an Australian horse racing punter could put a figure on the race, then a figure on every r...
The 6-Point Divisor Plan is an Australian horse racing staking plan from 1989, and the thing that keeps it survivable is not the arithmetic — it is the safety brake. You run into four losers in a r...
Weight ratings or speed ratings? Philip Roy tested both on Australian horse racing form, three months at the Sydney tracks, and one of them finished a long way in front. Writing in Practical Puntin...
In Australian horse racing, 99 per cent of punters fail to make money over a 12-month period — and exotic betting is where they lose fastest. Don Scott, a professional punter who spent the sixties ...
It looks like Darren Beadman's glory days in Hong Kong are well and truly over. The champ has ridden only 28 winners this season with a strike rate of 10.7%. He's only one winner ahead of Zac Purto...
Much has been said over the years about favourites and how frequently (or infrequently) they win a race. It's when you begin probing the bare statistics a little deeper that you begin to understan...
In this article I am going to continue the analysis of last-start winners that formed the basis of last month's article. In particular we will look at last-start winners strike rates for coming se...
Win-strike rates are fun, believe it or not. How many times have you seen a statement something like this one? "The horse must have a winstrike rate of 25 per cent, a minimum of five starts and m...
More than 10 years ago I wrote an article in PPM called The Profit Wall. It was all about how much a strike rate you need with your selections and at what prices to emerge with a decent profit. T...
Using statistical trends to make profits from betting is my chosen path. The stats behind my bets are a great mental support to me during losing spells. My faith in their long-term profitability c...
Not long after I took up punting, at the age of just 16, I began to bet on trifectas. I confess that the prospect of winning big for a small outlay was my main motivating factor! I now know that ...